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SPECIAL TOPICS
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STAKES RACES OLDER HORSESUntil
the fall, three-year-olds do not mix well with older stakes horses.
Most three-year-olds that brave these races get banged around badly. An
exception is the restricted stakes for 3up that bars former stakes winners,
a soft spot for impressively improving three-year-olds. Restricted stakes
limited to state-breds can be easy pickings as well for better three-year-olds
previously preoccupied with Kentucky-breds and Florida-breds in the
allowances and open stakes. In both situations, the latest numerical
ratings earned by the three-year-olds will be clearly superior to anything
in the field. Obvious
exceptions are the season's handful of super deluxe three-year-olds,
distinguished already by their performances in the spring classics.
By late summer or early fall, the truly outstanding three-year-olds
will be challenging the stars of the older division in selected graded
stakes. Their fate from season to season depends upon the quality of
the older handicap division. Under
normal conditions, when the older handicap division is led by champions,
near-champions, and classic winners of its own, a three-year-old must
be genuinely supreme to defeat them. If the leaders of the older handicap
division are talented but forgettable, ranking three-year-olds figure
to upset. But the bottom line for unexceptional three-year-olds in the stakes is harsh. Prefer older horses to three-year-olds in open, listed, and graded stakes of spring, summer, and fall. |
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